- 9 كانون أول 2017
- ثقافيات
By :Prof ,Dr, Cengiz Tomar
On December 11, 1917, it is reported that the British General Allenby, who occupied Jerusalem, said that the Crusades were now over. When the Middle East was already in a chaotic environment where everything was dusty, and the Arabs expressed in the Cham language of "fevkanîn tahtanîn", that is, in a chaotic situation, Trump's acceptance and declaration as the capital of Israel, including East Jerusalem, perhaps creating a "big bang" in the Middle East, including a symbolism made exactly one hundred years after the 1917 occupation? We may add the symbolism of the 50th anniversary of the occupation of East Jerusalem as a result of the centennial of the Balfour Declaration of November 2, 1917, and the 1967 War of Alliance. At least it is clear that we all allege that Trump is not a refined figure who can perceive this symbolism. So what, then, is the US president making such a decision these days?
If symbolism is not very convincing, you can answer this question by saying that Trump promised Jerusalem to recognize Jerusalem as the capital during the election work. But this answer is not a satisfactory answer to the question "why now".
If you do not believe that the centennial symbol or the promise of Trump has not been enough reason for Jerusalem to be recognized as the capital these days, we will have to look for changes in the Middle East in recent years. It is very clear that the "Arab Spring", which can not bring a spring tide to the Middle East, turned into a depression separating the existing ethnic and sectarian social fault lines in the sociology of the region, so that they could not be repaired again. Surely the region will never be the same after that. However, after this raid, there will be an order like this or such. The last president of the United States, Jerusalem, seems to be an effort to create a new satellites structure around their broken lines of fault. But just as Barzani is in the referendum gamble, the possibility of being a bullet in the house when going to Dimyat in rice includes the risk of losing the entire Arab and Islamic world more clearly.
Even though the US Congress approved a move in 1995 to move the US embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem, US presidents have been postponing this decision over the six-month period. Well, what has happened today is that the US has taken on such a job 22 years after this blackness?
The strategic mistakes of the United States in particular in Syria and Iraq, and in the Middle East in general, ultimately result in a new addition to the chain of devastating mistakes that made Jerusalem known as the capital of Israel. Under the name of war with terrorism and radicalism, the collapse of state systems in countries such as Iraq, Syria and Yemen virtually led to the division of these countries into Russia and Iran, which are the most prominent US counterparts in the region. Russia reinforced its influence in Syria and almost transformed western Syria into a mandatory administration. Iran has gained influence in Iraq and Syria and has been able to reach Israel through land via Lebanon and Hezbollah, and has threatened the US by threatening the US allies in the Gulf through countries such as Yemen and Bahrain. The United States has left its ally and its strategic partner Turkey on the agenda of Syria and has forced the most important ally in the region to cooperate with Russia and Iran by supporting PKK, PYD / YPG and FETO, which are threats to the country. In addition to this, I will add Qatar, which is compressed by Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates in the Gulf.
The United States has formed a bloc consisting of Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states, Egypt and Israel against Turkey, Russia, Iran and Qatar, which are formed as a result of erroneous policies in the Middle East. This step taken at the end of DEA's field dominance seems to be a product of the recently emerging reconciliation between Saudi Arabia (and the Gulf) and Israel under the leadership of US, Muhammad bin Selman in the Trump pioneer. Because Iran's recent influence in the region is mostly threatening Israel, Saudi Arabia and therefore the United States.
Both Hariri's forced retirement in Riyadh and Mahmoud Abbas's acceptance on behalf of the Palestinian Authority, forced to a peace agreement with impossible conditions can be explained by this agreement. Because Abbas has recently been forced to accept the town of Abu Dîs in the south east of the city as the capital of Palestine instead of East Jerusalem. It was desired that Egypt would contribute to the formation of this block by giving some of Sina's land to the Palestinian Authority (possibly as compensation). I would like to note that Egypt will soon give two strategic candidates in the Red Sea to Saudi Arabia. Perhaps Sisi wanted to consolidate his government by receiving financial and political support through this consensus.
However, this account at home may not always fit the Middle East market. Trump has made his battle in chess knowing Jerusalem as Israel's capital. Undoubtedly, Turkey, Jordan and Islamic countries in particular, will have a great reaction against this decision. But here are the attitudes of the people and governments of Egypt and Saudi Arabia (Gulf) which are the main determinants. If the Egyptian and Saudi Arabian peoples show a great reaction, the reaction of the governments to this can change the whole order in the Middle East …
Last word: peace does not come to the Middle East without peace to Jerusalem
